Inventory Watch: Feb 3rd

Inventory Watch: Feb 3rd

  • Jim Klinge
  • 02/3/25

Inventory Watch: February 3rd

My predicted surge in inventory is underway – look at the navy-blue line above. There are 363 active listings between La Jolla and Carlsbad today, and once the Super Bowl is out of the way, we should really get rocking. It should easily reach 400 before the end of the month.

It’s not a bad thing for the sellers who are willing to price attractively – there is still plenty of action. There will just be more this year that don’t sell at all.

NSDCC New Listings In The Last Week: 72 (+8%)

NSDCC New Pendings In The Last Week: 28 (+9%)

Buyers love the additional choices and will continue to be very picky, especially on price.

How did last month measure up?

NSDCC January Sales: 117 (102 last January)

NSDCC January Listings: 243 (242 last January)

Both of those categories should swell by roughly 10% as the late-reporters log in.

The final guesses on the number of NSDCC January listings:

211 – Eddie89

213 – Shadash

216 – regina

246 – Anne M

267 – Surfrider

280 – doughboy

293 – Joe

296 – Tim DeRoche

303 – Tom

307 – Jun

311 – SN

317 – CB Mark

318 – Nick

328 – Majeed

337 – natalie

353 – Derek

355 – Skip

365 – Leo

401 – Dr k

417 – Susie

421 – Giving Cat

Giving Cat (Rob Dawg) will probably endure the same fate as with the Coffee Bet – being correct, just early.

In April, 2009, real estate bloggers did a panel discussion on when the bottom would be, and I guessed December, 2011. Instead, the bottom happened during the very month of our discussion – April, 2009! https://www.bubbleinfo.com/2009/04/24/coffee-bet-2/

Check those lively comment sections too!

The $0 – $2,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025
43
$918/sf
63
27
Jan 13
45
$936/sf
53
22
Jan 20
47
$908/sf
54
25
Jan 27
48
$904/sf
48
32
Feb 3
51
$914/sf
47
41

The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025
55
$1,029/sf
66
36
Jan 13
58
$990/sf
63
31
Jan 20
64
$1,018/sf
57
26
Jan 27
64
$1,025/sf
53
31
Feb 3
71
$1,009/sf
50
31

The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025
44
$1,091/sf
82
19
Jan 13
46
$1,122/sf
77
19
Jan 20
52
$1,156/sf
70
16
Jan 27
49
$1,197/sf
67
20
Feb 3
56
$1,182/sf
55
21

The $4,000,000+ Market:

Date
NSDCC Active Listings
Avg. LP/sf
Avg. DOM
# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025
160
$1,822/sf
105
27
Jan 13
156
$1,868/sf
105
31
Jan 20
170
$1,936/sf
95
29
Jan 27
180
$1,877/sf
90
31
Feb 3
189
$1,884/sf
85
31

NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings

Week
New Listings
New Pendings
Total Actives
Total Pendings
Jan 6
27
11
298
108
Jan 13
38
26
301
101
Jan 20
55
16
328
95
Jan 27
60
32
337
113
Feb 3
72
28
363
123

NSDCC List Price Quartiles

Week
1st Quartile
Median List Price
3rd Quartile
Jan 6
$2,685,000
$4,472,500
$7,995,000
Jan 13
$2,499,000
$4,250,000
$7,750,000
Jan 20
$2,695,000
$4,300,000
$7,767,000
Jan 27
$2,795,000
$4,498,000
$7,995,000
Feb 3
$2,695,000
$4,350,000
$7,499,000

 

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