Inventory Watch: November 3rd

On the day that the number of homes for sale between La Jolla and Carlsbad dips below last year’s count for the first time in 2025, the number of pendings rise up again and exceed the 2024 count too! A late-season rally!

Too bad there aren’t many new listings – this would be a great time to sell!

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing arguments on Wednesday about the Trump tariffs – which have been one of the main reasons why bond yields haven’t dropped more. If something good comes out of that and bond traders relax a bit about inflation, we might finally see the lowest rates of the year too.

I’m a patient guy – all I want and need is mortgage rates in the mid-5s by January!

The $0 – $2,000,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	Avg. DOM	# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025	43	$918/sf	63	27
Jan 13	45	$936/sf	53	22
Jan 20	47	$908/sf	54	25
Jan 27	48	$904/sf	48	32
Feb 3	51	$914/sf	47	41
Feb 10	45	$935/sf	46	45
Feb 17	45	$916/sf	46	46
Feb 24	45	$958/sf	48	40
Mar 3	50	$950/sf	37	42
Mar 10	55	$908/sf	36	45
Mar 17	53	$891/sf	35	50
Mar 24	53	$898/sf	30	51
Mar 31	58	$878/sf	35	44
Apr 7	56	$867/sf	30	43
Apr 14	63	$906/sf	32	40
Apr 21	59	$936/sf	35	37
Apr 28	74	$899/sf	32	39
May 5	83	$907/sf	30	47
May 12	72	$916/sf	34	44
May 19	70	$898/sf	38	51
May 26	74	$923/sf	39	43
Jun 2	76	$912/sf	39	36
Jun 9	87	$939/sf	38	36
Jun 16	83	$922/sf	41	48
Jun 23	89	$930/sf	46	52
Jun 30	96	$938/sf	42	57
Jul 7	83	$944/sf	45	63
Jul 14	94	$910/sf	47	53
Jul 21	104	$897/sf	45	49
Jul 28	102	$882/sf	48	51
Aug 4	106	$858/sf	50	47
Aug 11	107	$864/sf	50	44
Aug 18	110	$836/sf	51	42
Aug 25	115	$843/sf	47	49
Sep 1	101	$832/sf	52	49
Sep 8	106	$837/sf	50	46
Sep 15	102	$829/sf	54	48
Sep 22	105	$839/sf	56	44
Sep 29	98	$830/sf	53	38
Oct 6	96	$828/sf	53	38
Oct 13	100	$811/sf	55	45
Oct 20	96	$842/sf	51	38
Oct 27	93	$862/sf	53	43
Nov 3	84	$833/sf	48	49

The $2,000,000 – $3,000,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	Avg. DOM	# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025	55	$1,029/sf	66	36
Jan 13	58	$990/sf	63	31
Jan 20	64	$1,018/sf	57	39
Jan 27	64	$1,025/sf	53	31
Feb 3	71	$1,009/sf	50	31
Feb 10	75	$1,005/sf	46	36
Feb 17	81	$1,015/sf	44	39
Feb 24	80	$1,012/sf	38	52
Mar 3	80	$1,034/sf	33	49
Mar 10	92	$1,029/sf	37	44
Mar 17	98	$1,015/sf	39	44
Mar 24	98	$1,008/sf	41	52
Mar 31	100	$997/sf	44	54
Apr 7	94	$940/sf	43	54
Apr 14	96	$962/sf	42	53
Apr 21	107	$1,000/sf	43	53
Apr 28	109	$1,010/sf	44	49
May 5	124	$1,036/sf	40	50
May 12	120	$1,041/sf	43	57
May 19	133	$1,034/sf	43	49
May 26	133	$1,055/sf	47	53
Jun 2	140	$1,039/sf	48	51
Jun 9	149	$1,042/sf	45	45
Jun 16	157	$1,043/sf	46	44
Jun 23	163	$1,028/sf	45	43
Jun 30	156	$1,030/sf	45	46
Jul 7	144	$1,048/sf	47	46
Jul 14	156	$1,023/sf	46	45
Jul 21	154	$1,018/sf	45	54
Jul 28	149	$1,021/sf	50	56
Aug 4	144	$1,031/sf	48	60
Aug 11	133	$1,054/sf	58	62
Aug 18	133	$1,046/sf	57	54
Aug 25	131	$1,020/sf	58	46
Sep 1	123	$1,060/sf	58	44
Sep 8	121	$1,080/sf	55	43
Sep 15	124	$1,079/sf	58	42
Sep 22	119	$1,052/sf	56	48
Sep 29	107	$1,074/sf	60	47
Oct 6	99	$1,073/sf	58	55
Oct 13	100	$1,073/sf	60	46
Oct 20	106	$1,044/sf	60	47
Oct 27	94	$1,037/sf	65	51
Nov 3	92	$1,051/sf	64	52

The $3,000,000 – $4,000,000 Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	Avg. DOM	# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025	44	$1,091/sf	82	19
Jan 13	46	$1,122/sf	77	19
Jan 20	52	$1,156/sf	70	16
Jan 27	49	$1,197/sf	67	20
Feb 3	56	$1,182/sf	55	21
Feb 10	58	$1,158/sf	51	25
Feb 17	58	$1,179/sf	54	24
Feb 24	56	$1,168/sf	52	24
Mar 3	51	$1,147/sf	56	31
Mar 10	56	$1,240/sf	61	34
Mar 17	60	$1,209/sf	61	36
Mar 24	60	$1,209/sf	62	39
Mar 31	62	$1,158/sf	64	34
Apr 7	68	$1,208/sf	59	34
Apr 14	79	$1,193/sf	55	26
Apr 21	85	$1,230/sf	54	28
Apr 28	85	$1,198/sf	53	28
May 5	82	$1,179/sf	56	28
May 12	89	$1,148/sf	53	30
May 19	88	$1,161/sf	56	28
May 26	85	$1,157/sf	58	26
Jun 2	81	$1,162/sf	58	22
Jun 9	89	$1,146/sf	58	21
Jun 16	95	$1,107/sf	56	17
Jun 23	101	$1,146/sf	58	18
Jun 30	102	$1,192/sf	56	24
Jul 7	102	$1,176/sf	55	21
Jul 14	108	$1,174/sf	55	20
Jul 21	105	$1,212/sf	57	17
Jul 28	114	$1,211/sf	55	16
Aug 4	111	$1,221/sf	56	15
Aug 11	105	$1,277/sf	58	19
Aug 18	104	$1,271/sf	57	17
Aug 25	101	$1,284/sf	61	18
Sep 1	101	$1,285/sf	66	17
Sep 8	95	$1,262/sf	69	18
Sep 15	95	$1,282/sf	70	16
Sep 22	90	$1,300/sf	74	21
Sep 29	84	$1,300/sf	75	24
Oct 6	85	$1,275/sf	74	19
Oct 13	89	$1,275/sf	73	21
Oct 20	92	$1,272/sf	72	19
Oct 27	97	$1,259/sf	73	17
Nov 3	88	$1,233/sf	73	20

The $4,000,000+ Market:

Date	NSDCC Active Listings	Avg. LP/sf	Avg. DOM	# of Pendings
Jan 6, 2025	160	$1,822/sf	105	27
Jan 13	156	$1,868/sf	105	31
Jan 20	170	$1,936/sf	95	29
Jan 27	180	$1,877/sf	90	31
Feb 3	189	$1,884/sf	85	31
Feb 10	189	$1,864/sf	88	29
Feb 17	192	$1,875/sf	90	32
Feb 24	195	$1,869/sf	91	34
Mar 3	200	$1,860/sf	87	34
Mar 10	213	$1,811/sf	83	36
Mar 17	208	$1,755/sf	85	30
Mar 24	211	$1,800/sf	86	25
Mar 31	213	$1,784/sf	90	32
Apr 7	219	$1,777/sf	90	33
Apr 14	230	$1,790/sf	87	35
Apr 21	231	$1,792/sf	87	32
Apr 28	235	$1,772/sf	88	28
May 5	239	$1,811/sf	82	30
May 12	239	$1,811/sf	85	33
May 19	255	$1,773/sf	85	29
May 26	265	$1,759/sf	87	24
Jun 2	242	$1,745/sf	90	29
Jun 9	244	$1,774/sf	90	33
Jun 16	254	$1,766/sf	88	34
Jun 23	265	$1,787/sf	91	30
Jun 30	260	$1,786/sf	92	40
Jul 7	257	$1,720/sf	95	41
Jul 14	250	$1,749/sf	101	45
Jul 21	249	$1,738/sf	102	44
Jul 28	249	$1,731/sf	104	47
Aug 4	245	$1,748/sf	106	46
Aug 11	243	$1,758/sf	109	41
Aug 18	244	$1,738/sf	110	40
Aug 25	244	$1,745/sf	112	36
Sep 1	247	$1,759/sf	111	35
Sep 8	248	$1,751/sf	109	34
Sep 15	243	$1,775/sf	109	38
Sep 22	237	$1,806/sf	110	29
Sep 29	226	$1,812/sf	113	31
Oct 6	218	$1,841/sf	114	35
Oct 13	219	$1,822/sf	112	35
Oct 20	216	$1,797/sf	111	37
Oct 27	209	$1,734/sf	114	38
Nov 3	208	$1,728/sf	109	36

NSDCC Weekly New Listings and New Pendings

Week	New Listings	New Pendings	Total Actives	Total Pendings
Jan 6	27	11	298	108
Jan 13	38	26	301	101
Jan 20	55	16	328	95
Jan 27	60	32	337	113
Feb 3	72	28	363	123
Feb 10	50	34	364	135
Feb 17	50	29	373	140
Feb 24	58	38	374	148
Mar 3	60	31	378	152
Mar 10	60	30	411	156
Mar 17	49	37	413	157
Mar 24	57	39	414	164
Mar 31	47	27	425	162
Apr 7	52	31	431	162
Apr 14	70	28	462	153
Apr 21	58	24	478	148
Apr 28	71	30	501	143
May 5	82	37	524	154
May 12	56	39	516	163
May 19	54	20	543	156
May 26	58	29	554	146
Jun 2	41	22	535	138
Jun 9	62	25	566	134
Jun 16	68	32	585	142
Jun 23	65	26	612	142
Jun 30	55	37	608	166
Jul 7	43	31	580	169
Jul 14	74	24	601	159
Jul 21	71	37	607	159
Jul 28	46	38	608	166
Aug 4	47	31	603	165
Aug 11	41	30	585	164
Aug 18	55	24	587	152
Aug 25	54	30	588	148
Sep 1	50	31	569	144
Sep 8	54	26	567	140
Sep 15	39	37	561	143
Sep 22	41	25	547	141
Sep 29	33	36	511	139
Oct 6	49	28	493	145
Oct 13	54	27	501	145
Oct 20	48	22	503	140
Oct 27	33	38	484	145
Nov 3	45	33	463	153

NSDCC List Price Quartiles

Week	1st Quartile	Median List Price	3rd Quartile
Jan 6	$2,685,000	$4,472,500	$7,995,000
Jan 13	$2,499,000	$4,250,000	$7,750,000
Jan 20	$2,695,000	$4,300,000	$7,767,000
Jan 27	$2,795,000	$4,498,000	$7,995,000
Feb 3	$2,695,000	$4,350,000	$7,499,000
Feb 10	$2,799,000	$4,299,000	$7,695,000
Feb 17	$2,695,000	$4,200,000	$7,750,000
Feb 24	$2,699,500	$4,250,000	$7,645,000
Mar 3	$2,550,000	$4,375,000	$7,497,000
Mar 10	$2,500,000	$4,200,000	$7,250,000
Mar 17	$2,500,000	$4,000,000	$6,995,000
Mar 24	$2,595,000	$4,047,500	$7,275,000
Mar 31	$2,499,000	$4,000,000	$7,300,000
Apr 7	$2,500,000	$4,000,000	$6,995,000
Apr 14	$2,500,000	$3,999,000	$6,995,000
Apr 21	$2,590,000	$3,995,000	$6,799,500
Apr 28	$2,490,000	$3,988,000	$6,500,000
May 5	$2,395,000	$3,795,000	$6,495,000
May 12	$2,495,000	$3,895,000	$6,500,000
May 19	$2,495,000	$3,950,000	$6,595,000
May 26	$2,495,000	$3,984,500	$6,547,500
Jun 2	$2,395,000	$3,799,000	$6,295,500
Jun 9	$2,300,000	$3,649,000	$5,998,500
Jun 16	$2,395,000	$3,649,000	$5,999,000
Jun 23	$2,395,000	$3,649,500	$5,999,500
Jun 30	$2,300,000	$3,598,500	$5,999,000
Jul 7	$2,395,000	$3,695,500	$6,100,000
Jul 14	$2,350,000	$3,550,000	$5,999,000
Jul 21	$2,300,000	$3,550,000	$5,995,000
Jul 28	$2,349,000	$3,575,000	$5,995,000
Aug 4	$2,299,949	$3,550,000	$5,995,000
Aug 11	$2,275,000	$3,575,000	$5,995,000
Aug 18	$2,269,000	$3,550,000	$5,995,000
Aug 25	$2,200,000	$3,512,500	$5,950,000
Sep 1	$2,350,000	$3,675,000	$5,995,000
Sep 8	$2,300,000	$3,675,000	$5,995,000
Sep 15	$2,350,000	$3,675,000	$5,995,000
Sep 22	$2,349,000	$3,650,000	$5,995,000
Sep 29	$2,299,999	$3,695,000	$5,995,000
Oct 6	$2,295,000	$3,699,000	$6,150,000
Oct 13	$2,299,999	$3,695,000	$6,150,000
Oct 20	$2,275,000	$3,689,000	$6,000,000
Oct 27	$2,299,999	$3,690,000	$5,998,000
Nov 3	$2,389,000	$3,750,000	$6,150,000

Inventory Watch: November 3rd

Inventory Watch: November 3rd

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